Leeds United and Burnley have both confirmed their return to the Premier League with two fixtures remaining. Despite the possibility of both finishing the season with 100 points, predictions for their survival chances in the top division remain bleak.
Burnley’s return marks a quick rebound following relegation last season. Leeds, meanwhile, have taken a couple of years to find their way back to the highest level of English football. Both Scott Parker and Daniel Farke boast three successful Championship promotions, but neither has managed to avoid the drop during previous Premier League spells.
Recent history hasn’t been kind to clubs stepping up from the second tier. For the second consecutive year, all three promoted sides are on track to be demoted immediately – something rarely seen since the league’s inception in 1992. The current economic constraints, particularly the league’s financial regulations, make it increasingly difficult for newcomers to bridge the performance gap, especially with top-flight clubs able to spend significantly more on salaries.
Managers’ approach and squads under the spotlight
Scott Parker, now in charge at Burnley, opted for a more pragmatic approach this season, in contrast to Vincent Kompany’s previous philosophy of possession-heavy football that didn’t translate well to the Premier League. Kompany’s campaign ended in relegation, although he secured a move to manage Bayern Munich. This time, Burnley’s defensive solidity has been central to their success, conceding only 15 goals in 44 matches and going 31 games unbeaten – a club best.
Parker, who previously helped Fulham and Bournemouth gain promotion, struggled to keep them up. His stint at Bournemouth ended shortly after a heavy loss to Liverpool. Former Burnley player Michael Duff believes Parker is well-prepared, noting that recent experiences will likely encourage him to maintain a strong defensive setup.
Daniel Farke has achieved with Leeds what only Marcelo Bielsa has done for the club in the past three decades – returning them to the top flight. The German coach also took Norwich City up twice but saw them relegated after each promotion. While Farke’s side has outperformed Bielsa’s 2019-20 campaign in terms of goals scored and points collected, comparisons with the Argentine remain difficult due to Bielsa’s iconic status among fans.
Leeds’ attack has been particularly effective this season, while Burnley’s strength lies at the back. Leeds have key players with prior Premier League experience, including Dan James, Joe Rodon, and Ethan Ampadu. Young talents like Willy Gnonto and Jayden Bogle could also prove vital. Joel Piroe, the Championship’s top scorer, could provide a goal threat despite concerns over his pace.
For Burnley, James Trafford has been a standout, registering 28 clean sheets in 43 matches. Though he had a tough time last season in the top flight, he has shown significant growth. Young defenders Maxime Esteve and CJ Egan-Riley have also received praise for their consistency.
Financial backing will be crucial this summer. Leeds, supported by 49ers Enterprises and minority partner Red Bull, are seen to be in a stable economic position despite outstanding transfer debts. Player sales are expected to ease some of that burden. Burnley’s ownership group, ALK Capital LLC, must decide whether to repeat their heavy investment from two years ago or take a more measured approach. Signing a proven striker is seen as a priority after failing to do so in their last top-flight campaign.
